Оценка влияния климатической политики на экономическое развитие стран

Авторы

  • Анна Владимировна Комарова Новосибирский государственный университет (Новосибирск, Россия) Автор
  • Александр Юрьевич Новиков Новосибирский государственный университет (Новосибирск, Россия) Автор
  • Ирина Викторовна Филимонова Новосибирский государственный университет (Новосибирск, Россия) Автор

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.22394/1993-7601-2025-79-50-71

Ключевые слова:

экономический рост, выбросы парниковых газов, климатическая политика, обобщенный метод моментов

Аннотация

В работе изучается взаимосвязь между жесткостью климатической политики, реализуемой в странах мира, и темпами экономического развития в период 2000–2020 гг. Рассмотрена проблема потенциального наличия двусторонней взаимосвязи между данными показателями. Проанализирована возможность использования темпов роста или снижения выбросов как индикатора жесткости климатической политики. Предложены альтернативные индикаторы для моделирования воздействия политики на экономическое развитие страны. В работе используется динамическая модель панельных данных, оцениваемая с помощью обобщенного метода моментов.
Поступила в редакцию: 25.10.2024 · Принята к публикации: 27.03.2025

Организации

Статья подготовлена при финансовой поддержке РФФИ, проект 23-78-10157.

Скачивания

Данные по скачиваниям пока не доступны.

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Analysis: Theory and Practice, 19 (322), 8–16 (in Russian).

Ahmad N., Du L. (2017). Effects of energy production and CO2 emissions on economic growth in Iran: ARDL approach. Energy, 123, 521–537. DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2017.01.144.

Alam M. M., Murad M. W., Noman A. H. M., Ozturk I. (2016). Relationships among carbon emissions, economic growth, energy consumption and population growth: Testing Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis for Brazil, China, India and Indonesia. Ecological Indicators, 70, 466–479. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.06.043.

Alonso-Borrego C., Arellano M. (1999). Symmetrically normalized instrumental-variable estimation using panel data. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 17 (1), 36–49. DOI: 10.1080/07350015.1999.10524795.

Aparicio S., Urbano D., Audretsch D. (2016). Institutional factors, opportunity entrepreneurship and economic growth: Panel data evidence. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 102, 45–61. DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2015.04.006.

Azam M. (2016). Does environmental degradation shackle economic growth? A panel data investigation on 11 Asian countries. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 65, 175–182. DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2016.06.087.

Badeeb R. A., Lean H. H., Clark J. (2017). The evolution of the natural resource curse thesis: A critical literature survey. Resources Policy, 51, 123–134. DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2016.10.015.

Bataille C., Melton N. (2017). Energy efficiency and economic growth: A retrospective CGE analysis for Canada from 2002 to 2012. Energy Economics, 64, 118–130. DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2017.03.008.

Bergquist A. K., Söderholm K., Kinneryd H., Lindmark M., Söderholm P. (2013). Command-and-control revisited: Environmental compliance and technological change in Swedish industry 1970–1990. Ecological Economics, 85, 6–19. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.10.007.

Bozkurt C., Yusuf A. (2014). Economic growth, CO2 emissions and energy consumption: The Turkish case. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 4 (3), 484–494.

Choi In. (2001). Unit root tests for panel data. Journal of International Money and Finance, 20 (2), 249–272. DOI: 10.1016/S0261-5606(00)00048-6.

Chiu F. P., Kuo H. I., Chen C. C., Hsu C. S. (2015). The energy price equivalence of carbon taxes and emissions trading—theory and evidence. Applied Energy, 160, 164–171. DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.09.022.

Filimonova I., Komarova A., Mishenin M. (2020). Impact of the global green factor on the capitalization of oil companies in Russia. Oeconomia Copernicana, 11 (2), 309–324.

Ghosh B. C., Alam K. J., Osmani M. A. G. (2014). Economic growth, CO2 emissions and energy consumption: The case of Bangladesh. International Journal of Business and Economics Research, 3 (6), 220–227. DOI: 10.11648/j.ijber.20140306.13.

Gray W. B., Shadbegian R. J. (2003). Plant vintage, technology, and environmental regulation. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 46 (3), 384–402. DOI: 10.1016/S0095-0696(03)00031-7.

Grossman G. M., Krueger A. B. (1991). Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement. NBER Working Papers, 3914.

Grossman G. M., Krueger A. B. (1995). Economic growth and the environment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110 (2), 353–377. DOI: 10.2307/2118443.

Hassan S. T., Xia E., Khan N. H., Shah S. M. A. (2019). Economic growth, natural resources, and ecological footprints: Evidence from Pakistan. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26 (3), 2929–2938. DOI: 10.1007/s11356-018-3803-3.

Katircioglu S., Gokmenoglu K. K., Eren B. M. (2018). Testing the role of tourism development in ecological footprint quality: Evidence from top 10 tourist destinations. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25 (33), 33611–33619. DOI: 10.1007/s11356-018-3324-0.

Komarova A. V., Filimonova I. V., Kartashevich A. A. (2022). Energy consumption of the countries in the context of economic development and energy transition. Energy Reports, 8, 683–690. DOI: 10.1016/j.egyr.2022.07.072.

Levin A., Lin C.-F., Chu C.-S. J. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108 (1), 1–24. DOI: 10.1016/S0304-4076(01)00098-7.

Maddala G. S., Wu S. (1999). A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 61, 631–652. DOI: 10.1111/1468-0084.0610s1631.

Mardani A., Streimikiene D., Cavallaro F., Loganathan N., Khoshnoudi M. (2019). Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and economic growth: A systematic review of two decades of research from 1995 to 2017. Science of the Total Environment, 649, 31–49. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.08.229.

Pao H. T., Yu H. C., Yang Y. H. (2011). Modeling the CO2 emissions, energy use, and economic growth in Russia. Energy, 36 (8), 5094–5100. DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2011.06.004.

Pelinescu E. (2015). The impact of human capital on economic growth. Procedia Economics and Finance, 22, 184–190. DOI: 10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00258-0.

Porter M. E., Van der Linde C. (1995). Toward a new conception of the environment–competitiveness relationship. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9 (4), 97–118. DOI: 10.1257/jep.9.4.97.

Qian X., Wang D., Wang J., Chen S. (2019). Resource curse, environmental regulation and transformation of coal-mining cities in China. Resources Policy, 101447. DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101447.

Ramanathan R., Black A., Nath P., Muyldermans L. (2010). Impact of environmental regulations on innovation and performance in the UK industrial sector. Management Decision, 1493–1513. DOI: 10.1108/00251741011090298.

Rudolph A., Figge L. (2017). Determinants of ecological footprints: What is the role of globalization? Ecological Indicators, 81, 348–361. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.04.060.

Solarin S. A., Al-Mulali U. (2018). Influence of foreign direct investment on indicators of environmental degradation. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25 (25), 24845–24859. DOI: 10.1007/s11356-018-2562-5.

Yang Q., Song D. (2019). How does environmental regulation break the resource curse: Theoretical and empirical study on China. Resources Policy, 64, 101480. DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101480.

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2025-03-15

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Комарова А.В., Новиков А.Ю., Филимонова И.В. Оценка влияния климатической политики на экономическое развитие стран // Прикладная эконометрика. 2025. Т. 79, № 3. С. 50–71. https://doi.org/10.22394/1993-7601-2025-79-50-71